• By: Allen Brown

Toronto Maple Leafs analysis and predictions on Stanley Cup

The Toronto Maple Leafs, adorned with a legacy of triumph and tradition, are poised at the precipice of the 2024 Stanley Cup Playoffs, embarking on a campaign marked by lofty ambitions and meticulous examination. Reflecting on the 2023-24 NHL season, this storied franchise has navigated through heightened expectations and analytical scrutiny, showcasing its strategic maneuvers and on-ice performances. 

Concluding the previous season with a commendable second-place finish in the Atlantic Division, the Leafs tallied an impressive 50 wins against 21 losses. Despite their strong season, their playoff journey was cut short in the second round, succumbing to the Florida Panthers with a series outcome of 1–4. This illustrious club, with 13 Stanley Cup championships—second only to the Montreal Canadiens‘ 24 titles—last clinched the division championship in the 2020-21 season, adding another chapter to their rich history.

Season Performance and Roster Evaluation

Currently occupying the third position in the Atlantic Division with 26 victories and 15 defeats, they have amassed 60 points, trailing the division-leading Florida Panthers by 8 points, who stand at 68 points. The stellar performances of key players such as Auston Matthews and William Nylander significantly bolster the Leafs’ on-ice dynamics. Matthews, with an impressive tally of 41 goals, including 11 on the power play and 207 shots, has been a driving force in the offensive surge of the team. His contribution is well-complemented by Nylander, who has notched 40 assists and holds a plus/minus rating of 1, further enriching the team’s attacking prowess with 18 power play assists.

The Leafs have scored an average of 3.45 goals per game while conceding 3.18 goals per game. Their power play efficiency stands at 26.6%, a testament to their effectiveness in capitalizing on opportunities. However, the penalty kill percentage of 77.7% indicates areas for improvement in special teams’ play.

This season’s performance and the Leafs’ roster composition showcase high-caliber talent spearheaded by Matthews, Marner, Tavares, and Nylander. These key forwards have remained at the heart of Toronto’s offensive strategy, steering the team through the highs and lows of the season. Despite the undeniable skill of these stars, the depth beyond the marquee names has sparked discussions. 

The contributions of secondary forwards and defensemen, especially in light of injuries, have highlighted the critical need for a well-rounded roster to compete across all facets of the game.

Stanley Cup Prospects and Predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs are positioned for a playoff berth in their 2023-24 NHL. While poised to surpass the 100-point milestone again, their path has puzzled many, blending moments of brilliance with periods of unpredictability. Amid this landscape, the spotlight intensifies on Auston Matthews and William Nylander, whose performances could define the narrative of the season’s latter half. Matthews, in particular, is on the cusp of a historic achievement—potentially becoming the ninth player in NHL history, and the first in over three decades, to score 70 goals in a season.

In the broader context of Stanley Cup contention, the Maple Leafs are perceived as peripheral contenders despite their solid footing in the playoff race. According to betting platforms like BetVictor Canada, the Carolina Hurricanes and Colorado Avalanche, each with odds of +900, are considered frontrunners for the Stanley Cup. The Leafs are positioned alongside the Edmonton Oilers and New Jersey Devils, all with odds of +1000, reflecting a competitive but uncertain quest for the championship.

The last triumph of the Maple Leafs in the Stanley Cup dates back to 1967, a historical victory that remains a cherished memory for the franchise and its fanbase. The challenge ahead requires a strategic blend of talent optimization and depth enhancement, especially in defense and goaltending, to navigate the postseason successfully. The management and coaching staff are tasked with making crucial decisions at the trade deadline and beyond, aiming to assemble a roster capable of competing against the league’s elite and potentially altering the current perception of their Stanley Cup chances.


The Toronto Maple Leafs have showcased resilience and strategic depth, positioning themselves as strong playoff contenders. Despite being considered peripheral Stanley Cup contenders, their journey has been highlighted by notable performances from Auston Matthews and William Nylander. They’re currently third in the Atlantic Division and demonstrated the talent and tactical understanding necessary for a deep playoff run.

The challenge for the Leafs lies in optimizing their roster, particularly enhancing defense and goaltending, to compete at the highest level. With a history rich in triumph but a long gap since their last Stanley Cup victory in 1967, the Maple Leafs’ current campaign is a blend of ambition and the relentless pursuit of glory, embodying the spirit of competition and the hopes of their dedicated fanbase.